"Level Up Your Weekend: Can Super Mario Galaxy Smash Records with a Whopping $188 Million Opening?"
Added on April 4, 2026 inFree Entertainment News, Free Movie News
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As the stars align this weekend, it looks like the box office is about to experience quite the cosmic explosion—courtesy of The Super Mario Galaxy Movie! Yep, you heard it right. Early predictions suggest that this animated spectacle is set to rack in a whopping $129 million just for the weekend and an impressive $188.5 million over the five-day holiday. While those figures are certainly impressive, and fans are likely itching to see Mario and friends on the big screen, it seems the film might not reach the mystical $200 million mark this time around. A bit of a dip from last year’s good ol’ Easter total of $204 million for the previous Super Mario Bros. film, but it’s still not a total washout!
With its huge momentum, it seems the Super Mario franchise continues to charm audiences—eclipsing the competition with the original film still holding the crown as the highest-grossing Illumination release ever at $574 million domestically. However, I’ll throw a wild card into the prediction ring: while this sequel might end up becoming the second-highest-grossing Illumination flick, I suspect it could top out around $400 million domestically. The buzz suggests it’s not quite capturing the hearts of audiences the same way its predecessor did.
So, will there be enough fairy dust and stardust make this one a blockbuster too? I guess we’ll find out soon! And, speaking of blockbusters, let’s not forget the weekend’s other new entries… For those looking to escape into the cinematic cosmos, you’ll want to keep reading—there’s plenty of box office gossip to digest! Click here to LEARN MORE.
As expected, The Super Mario Galaxy Movie is on track for the biggest opening of the year. According to Deadline, the film seems likely to hit $129 million over the weekend and $188.5 million for the five-day holiday. While those are great numbers, as we predicted earlier this week, it’s not going to crack the $200 million mark, with it coming in just shy of the $204 million the last Super Mario movie made over the Easter holiday in 2023.
Even still, that’s not a very drastic falloff from the first movie, meaning that the Super Mario franchise is still pretty explosive at the box office. The first Super Mario Bros. movie is the highest-grossing Illumination release of all time, making $574 million domestically and $1.3 billion worldwide. Likely, the second film will become the second-highest-grossing Illumination movie, with the current runner-up being Minions: The Rise of Gru with $370 million. With its current gross, I expect The Super Mario Galaxy Movie to top out around $400 million domestically. It scored an A-minus on CinemaScore compared to the A the last film received, showing audiences maybe aren’t liking it quite as much, which is why I think the decline will be somewhat steep on this one.
The weekend’s other big new release, The Drama, is looking at about $14 million over the holiday weekend. Considering the huge twist, the CinemaScore rating of B isn’t half bad. The score suggests some may hate the film, but others (including us) are appreciating it. Project Hail Mary, as expected, is looking at a great $32.6 million, with it likely to be close to $220 million by the end of the weekend. Another big surprise is the Angel Studios release A Great Awakening, a Benjamin Franklin biopic which, despite very little in the way of advertising and buzz, is opening in sixth place with a surprising $2.1 million.
What are you seeing this weekend? Let us know in the comments.
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